Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Snowy Egret In Coastal California
Snowy Egret in Coastal California has surged: up 138% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+138%Since 1973
32Routes In Region
53Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Snowy Egret has surged in Coastal California: up 138% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Snowy Egret in Coastal California is projected to rise about 261% by 2029 — from 0.34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.24–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±194.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+261%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.24–2.295% range
±194.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.2 | 0.17 | 2.2 |
| 2026 | 1.2 | 0.19 | 2.2 |
| 2027 | 1.2 | 0.21 | 2.2 |
| 2028 | 1.2 | 0.22 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 1.2 | 0.24 | 2.2 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Riovista | CALIFORNIA | 19 | 2007 |
| Glenn | CALIFORNIA | 17 | 2022 |
| Fairfax | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 2024 |
| Westley | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2021 |
| Hughson | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2018 |
| Cp. Pendleton | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2004 |
| Harbor Lake 2 | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Staten Is. | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| El Toro | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1996 |
| Zamora | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2023 |
| Coyote | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Pennington | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Harbor Lake | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1991 |
| Moreno | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| San Ysidro | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1989 |
| Hollister | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2001 |
| Coalinga | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2005 |
| Morro Bay | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1992 |
| Orland | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2013 |
| Poway | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1977 |
| Ventucopa | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1980 |
| Arvin | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2022 |
| Atwater | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2012 |
| Oroville | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2006 |
| Tranquillity | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2003 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.