BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Sedge Wren In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionGrassland birds

Sedge Wren in Boreal Hardwood Transition has held roughly steady: down 1% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-1%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
98Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Sedge Wren in Boreal Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Sedge Wren In Boreal Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Sedge Wren in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 1.5–5.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+18%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.5–5.095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Sedge Wren in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 18% by 2029 — from 2.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 1.5–5.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.21.55.0
20263.21.55.0
20273.21.55.0
20283.21.55.0
20293.21.55.0

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Sedge Wren in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
GilmanWISCONSIN322024
BackusMINNESOTA282024
MahtowaMINNESOTA242023
McgregorMINNESOTA192024
Wigwam BayMINNESOTA162023
GreenbushMINNESOTA152024
Weirgor SpringsWISCONSIN152024
LudeMINNESOTA132023
BrainerdMINNESOTA112024
Mille LacsMINNESOTA92024
CromwellMINNESOTA82023
Pine RiverMINNESOTA82024
Sherry LakeMINNESOTA82022
GlendaleMINNESOTA82023
Little ForkMINNESOTA72024
PickfordMICHIGAN62024
DebsMINNESOTA62024
BigforkMINNESOTA62024
FlambeauWISCONSIN62024
Island LakeMINNESOTA52015
Crane LakeMINNESOTA52024
Lake CityMICHIGAN42010
FloodwoodMINNESOTA42024
BemidjiMINNESOTA41980
BlackduckMINNESOTA42022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.