BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyAerial insectivores

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 484% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+484%Since 1973
20Routes In Region
40Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 484% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 0.48 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.65 (95% range 0.21–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+35%Change by 2029
0.65Projected 2029 index
0.21–1.195% range
±61.2%Backtest error
19712029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.600.171.0
20260.620.181.1
20270.630.191.1
20280.640.201.1
20290.650.211.1

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
SaffellARKANSAS72019
MaynardARKANSAS72024
EnglandARKANSAS52024
AugustaARKANSAS42001
UlmARKANSAS32024
Augusta 2ARKANSAS32016
HarrisburgARKANSAS22002
Hickory RidgeARKANSAS22022
EudoraARKANSAS12024
HughesARKANSAS12019
South BendARKANSAS12013
LafeARKANSAS12022
GillettARKANSAS12016
KelsoARKANSAS12014
WilsonARKANSAS12010
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS12023
ConcordLOUISIANA12017
DundeeMISSISSIPPI12018
BlodgettMISSOURI12018
KennettMISSOURI12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.