BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasAerial insectivores

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has fallen sharply: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-51%Since 1969
84Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Scissor-tailed Flycatcher has fallen sharply in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 51% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.5 (95% range 0.36–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-4%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.36–4.795% range
±25.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.80.654.9
20262.70.584.9
20272.70.514.8
20282.60.434.7
20292.50.364.7

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Scissor-tailed Flycatcher in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
ChandlerTEXAS442004
McalesterOKLAHOMA331991
PhillipsOKLAHOMA272008
SandbluffOKLAHOMA251995
MatoyOKLAHOMA242000
CanadianOKLAHOMA212017
Chandler 2TEXAS212024
IndianolaOKLAHOMA172024
Coal HillARKANSAS152023
MassardARKANSAS132022
HavanaARKANSAS132021
StarkARKANSAS122024
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA92021
PocolaOKLAHOMA92016
MortonTEXAS92024
SmyrnaTEXAS92010
AshdownARKANSAS82023
AthensTEXAS82024
WechesTEXAS82024
CrossroadsTEXAS72024
Mt. SelmanTEXAS72024
Easton 2TEXAS72024
Smyrna 2TEXAS72023
PushmatahaOKLAHOMA62023
Liberty HillTEXAS62023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.