Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Scarlet Tanager In Piedmont
Scarlet Tanager in Piedmont has edged up: up 14% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+14%Since 1968
149Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Scarlet Tanager in Piedmont. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.9 (95% range 1.2–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+4%Change by 2029
1.9Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.595% range
±36.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 2026 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 2027 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 2028 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| 2029 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 2.5 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Pw Forest Pk | VIRGINIA | 24 | 2009 |
| Lake Anna | VIRGINIA | 14 | 2024 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 12 | 2024 |
| Siloam | GEORGIA | 11 | 1978 |
| Ball Ground | GEORGIA | 11 | 2021 |
| Eklo | MARYLAND | 11 | 2018 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 11 | 2022 |
| Irisburg | VIRGINIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 8 | 2024 |
| Eden | NORTH-CAROLINA | 8 | 2022 |
| Big Island | VIRGINIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Shipman | VIRGINIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Church Road | VIRGINIA | 8 | 2024 |
| Ft Pickett N | VIRGINIA | 8 | 1995 |
| Ft Pickett S | VIRGINIA | 8 | 1995 |
| Mooresville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 7 | 2001 |
| Tryme | VIRGINIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Elamsville | VIRGINIA | 7 | 2016 |
| Liberty City 2 | ALABAMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Climax | NORTH-CAROLINA | 6 | 2008 |
| David | VIRGINIA | 6 | 2013 |
| Amherst | VIRGINIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Copeland | NORTH-CAROLINA | 5 | 2024 |
| Call | NORTH-CAROLINA | 5 | 2023 |
| Mount Airy | NORTH-CAROLINA | 5 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.