Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Scarlet Tanager In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
Scarlet Tanager in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has declined: down 42% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-42%Since 1972
10Routes In Region
30Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Scarlet Tanager in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to stay roughly flat through 2021, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2021
0.03Projected 2021 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±35.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2018 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2019 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2020 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2021 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley
| Hughes | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1973 |
| Bardwell | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2000 |
| Isola | MISSISSIPPI | 2 | 1968 |
| Tiptonville | TENNESSEE | 2 | 2016 |
| Harrisburg | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1968 |
| Augusta | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1972 |
| Bardwell 2 | KENTUCKY | 1 | 2012 |
| Deventer | MISSOURI | 1 | 1973 |
| Cp Girardeau | MISSOURI | 1 | 2000 |
| Pawpaw | TENNESSEE | 1 | 1983 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.