BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Scarlet Tanager In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Scarlet Tanager in Prairie Hardwood Transition has edged up: up 11% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+11%Since 1968
154Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Scarlet Tanager in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Scarlet Tanager in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 82% by 2029 — from 0.92 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.86–2.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.5%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+82%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.86–2.595% range
±73.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.842.5
20261.70.852.5
20271.70.852.5
20281.70.862.5
20291.70.862.5

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Scarlet Tanager in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
HatfieldWISCONSIN141998
Barry S.G.A.MICHIGAN122012
Big RapidsMICHIGAN101990
Stevens PtWISCONSIN92023
MatherWISCONSIN72018
Allegan WmaMICHIGAN62019
ScottvilleMICHIGAN52024
FowlervilleMICHIGAN52008
CascoWISCONSIN52022
GreshamWISCONSIN52024
Big Blue LkMICHIGAN42024
AlmenaMICHIGAN42015
Barry S.G.A. 2MICHIGAN42019
AshbyMINNESOTA42021
Chatfield 2MINNESOTA42024
CadottWISCONSIN42024
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN42022
SaxevilleWISCONSIN42024
PackertownINDIANA32004
BravoMICHIGAN32023
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN32024
HungerfordMICHIGAN32024
New BuffaloMICHIGAN32013
EvergreenMINNESOTA32024
Brook ParkMINNESOTA32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.