BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Chihuahuan Desert has held roughly steady: up 7% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+7%Since 1969
53Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Say's Phoebe in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 2.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.8 (95% range 0.79–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029
1.8Projected 2029 index
0.79–2.895% range
±19%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.80.782.8
20261.80.782.8
20271.80.782.8
20281.80.782.8
20291.80.792.8

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Chihuahuan Desert.
San AntonioNEW-MEXICO91977
EscondidaNEW-MEXICO72024
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO62024
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO52024
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO52019
Red RockNEW-MEXICO52024
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO52024
GageNEW-MEXICO42024
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO42017
Sunshine WllNEW-MEXICO42024
Ft. DavisTEXAS42023
Van HornTEXAS42024
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO32023
PinonNEW-MEXICO32024
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO32024
Delaware CrkTEXAS32015
PresidioTEXAS32023
Salt FlatTEXAS32015
Quitman Canyon 2TEXAS32024
Chisos BasinTEXAS32024
RoswellNEW-MEXICO22022
DemingNEW-MEXICO21975
LakewoodNEW-MEXICO22021
EngleNEW-MEXICO21987
Black GapTEXAS22017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.