BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Sierra Madre Occidental has edged down: down 12% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-12%Since 1970
34Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Say's Phoebe in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to rise about 10% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.00–2.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±17.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+10%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.695% range
±17.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.002.7
20261.20.002.7
20271.20.002.6
20281.20.002.6
20291.20.002.6

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Sierra Madre Occidental.
Skull ValleyARIZONA62024
RedingtonARIZONA62022
PinetopARIZONA42022
AlpineARIZONA42023
AmadoARIZONA42023
Clay SpringARIZONA42024
SprucedaleARIZONA42022
PomereneARIZONA32024
CutterARIZONA32014
PortalARIZONA32023
FlagstaffARIZONA22021
PrescottARIZONA22022
BlueARIZONA21987
Mormon LakeARIZONA11974
San SimonARIZONA12023
Peña BlancaARIZONA12022
PatagoniaARIZONA12024
SunizonaARIZONA11997
WilliamsARIZONA12019
MaineARIZONA12023
Tonto Vill.ARIZONA12019
Forest LakesARIZONA12024
Bartlett ResARIZONA12023
SahuaritaARIZONA12021
McnealARIZONA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.