BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has edged up: up 19% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+19%Since 1970
84Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Say's Phoebe in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 67% by 2029 — from 1.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 1.4–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.3%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+67%Change by 2029
2.3Projected 2029 index
1.4–3.395% range
±64.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.21.33.2
20262.31.33.2
20272.31.33.2
20282.31.43.3
20292.31.43.3

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
TronaCALIFORNIA91997
Joshua TreeCALIFORNIA92002
Cutter 2ARIZONA72018
WildroseCALIFORNIA72022
LenwoodCALIFORNIA72012
New RiverARIZONA62016
Gila BendARIZONA62009
Joshua Tree 2CALIFORNIA62016
Jean LakeNEVADA52010
Squaw PeakARIZONA41969
RivieraARIZONA42024
TecopaCALIFORNIA42019
NelsonNEVADA42024
VicksburgARIZONA31989
DatelandARIZONA32013
Alamo Res.ARIZONA32023
ArabyARIZONA32022
Red RockARIZONA32014
Ajo 2ARIZONA32022
Cactus ForestARIZONA32024
Anza BorregoCALIFORNIA32024
DarwinCALIFORNIA32005
Death ValleyCALIFORNIA32023
Kelso ValleyCALIFORNIA32024
Cholla Gard.CALIFORNIA32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.