BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Say's Phoebe In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Say's Phoebe in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 233% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+233%Since 1969
121Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Say's Phoebe has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 233% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Say's Phoebe in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.5 (95% range 0.78–2.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-10%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.78–2.295% range
±11.8%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.752.2
20261.50.762.2
20271.50.772.2
20281.50.772.2
20291.50.782.2

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Say's Phoebe in Badlands and Prairies.
RockyfordSOUTH-DAKOTA102023
ForsythMONTANA82023
NatronaWYOMING81992
Caballa CrkWYOMING82021
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA72023
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA72015
ArvadaWYOMING72024
BrandenbergMONTANA62019
Wheat BasinMONTANA62024
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA62019
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA62024
MarcusSOUTH-DAKOTA62012
WyarnoWYOMING62022
DwyerWYOMING62014
Reed PointMONTANA52024
Coleman CouleeMONTANA52023
RecluseWYOMING52024
Teapot DomeWYOMING51989
Thunder BasinWYOMING52024
LocateMONTANA42017
Hehn DrawMONTANA42024
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA42024
LarkNORTH-DAKOTA41981
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA42024
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.