Species · BCR 9 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Sagebrush Sparrow In Great Basin
Sagebrush Sparrow in Great Basin has fallen sharply: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-68%Since 1970
153Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Sagebrush Sparrow has fallen sharply in Great Basin: down 68% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Sagebrush Sparrow in Great Basin is projected to fall about 34% by 2029 — from 7.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.7 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-34%Change by 2029
4.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±26.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.0 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2026 | 4.9 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2027 | 4.9 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2028 | 4.8 | 0.00 | 11 |
| 2029 | 4.7 | 0.00 | 10 |
Routes In Great Basin
| Toiyabe Nf | NEVADA | 157 | 2024 |
| Sutcliffe | NEVADA | 126 | 1972 |
| Dobbin Creek | NEVADA | 70 | 2018 |
| Walker Can | NEVADA | 62 | 2024 |
| Sand Pass | NEVADA | 60 | 2024 |
| Kyle Canyon | IDAHO | 56 | 2024 |
| Oreana | NEVADA | 56 | 2003 |
| Mizpah | NEVADA | 55 | 2024 |
| Willow Spg | OREGON | 55 | 1971 |
| Wagontire | OREGON | 49 | 2024 |
| Fandango Can | OREGON | 47 | 2024 |
| Lookout Lake | OREGON | 47 | 1994 |
| Cortez | NEVADA | 46 | 2024 |
| Iron Springs 2 | UTAH | 46 | 2024 |
| Darroughs Hot Spgs | NEVADA | 44 | 2024 |
| Sheldon Nwr | NEVADA | 40 | 2019 |
| Minerva | NEVADA | 38 | 2024 |
| Fish Creek | NEVADA | 37 | 2021 |
| Bartle | CALIFORNIA | 36 | 1977 |
| Willis | NEVADA | 36 | 2024 |
| Virgin Creek | NEVADA | 32 | 2018 |
| Indian Peak | UTAH | 30 | 2021 |
| Eureka | NEVADA | 29 | 2024 |
| Illipah | NEVADA | 29 | 2021 |
| Austin | NEVADA | 28 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.