BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ruby-throated Hummingbird In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Peninsular Florida has collapsed: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-75%Since 1970
34Routes In Region
45Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Ruby-throated Hummingbird has collapsed in Peninsular Florida: down 75% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Peninsular Florida is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.14). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-21%Change by 2029
0.04Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1495% range
±58.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.050.000.14
20260.050.000.14
20270.040.000.14
20280.040.000.14
20290.040.000.14

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Ruby-throated Hummingbird in Peninsular Florida.
Ft MccoyFLORIDA22017
Lake BuffumFLORIDA21995
MicanopyFLORIDA11991
RomeoFLORIDA12003
St AugustineFLORIDA12009
San AntonioFLORIDA12021
BelmoreFLORIDA12019
Polk CityFLORIDA12009
MabelFLORIDA12002
ChildsFLORIDA11977
ScottsmoorFLORIDA12006
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA11973
PinecrestFLORIDA12019
KenansvilleFLORIDA11973
IndiantownFLORIDA12002
SalvistaFLORIDA11967
DeanvilleFLORIDA12019
NobletonFLORIDA12024
Pennywash CrFLORIDA11989
Winter GardnFLORIDA12007
KissimmeeFLORIDA11992
PalmdaleFLORIDA11987
AripekaFLORIDA12010
AlvaFLORIDA11992
Island GroveFLORIDA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.