BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rose-breasted Grosbeak In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Atlantic Northern Forest has fallen sharply: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-59%Since 1968
154Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rose-breasted Grosbeak has fallen sharply in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 59% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 51% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.65 (95% range 0.00–3.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±15.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-51%Change by 2029
0.65Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.695% range
±15.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.980.003.9
20260.900.003.8
20270.810.003.7
20280.730.003.6
20290.650.003.6

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Rose-breasted Grosbeak in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Dexter LakeNEW-YORK351975
NorthfieldMAINE291981
WaiteMAINE121977
New HartfordCONNECTICUT71987
BentonMAINE71980
Pillsbury PdMAINE71968
WashburnMAINE72005
Clayton Lake 2MAINE72013
WatervilleVERMONT71980
WestbrookMAINE62024
TurnerMAINE62002
ManchesterMAINE61995
BaxterMAINE61988
SheffieldMASSACHUSETTS62022
SciotaNEW-YORK62006
WarrenMAINE51990
Ft FairfieldMAINE52005
CanterburyNEW-HAMPSHIRE52024
SabattisNEW-YORK51983
NewburyVERMONT52004
Otisfield GrMAINE42015
Carrying PlMAINE42024
LudlowMAINE41998
Priestly Br.MAINE42013
JeffersonMAINE42009

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.