BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest has increased: up 39% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+39%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
78Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Northern Pacific Rainforest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 127% by 2029 — from 0.96 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.00–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+127%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.595% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±77.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 127% by 2029 — from 0.96 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.00–4.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±77.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.20.004.6
20262.20.004.6
20272.20.004.6
20282.20.004.6
20292.20.004.5

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
KetchikanALASKA712022
RaymondWASHINGTON282021
Port AngelesWASHINGTON212024
YrekaCALIFORNIA132014
Sitka (Short)ALASKA121992
Rio DellCALIFORNIA102011
Sandy RiverOREGON101999
IssaquahWASHINGTON91985
Fish RockCALIFORNIA82012
PackwoodWASHINGTON82008
CarnationWASHINGTON82022
Raymond 2WASHINGTON82024
HauserOREGON71985
Emigrant LkOREGON72000
Sams ValleyOREGON72008
JuneauALASKA62024
Horse CreekCALIFORNIA61981
ShellrockOREGON61990
DaytonOREGON62024
Bay ViewWASHINGTON62017
MukilteoWASHINGTON62024
Mendota 2WASHINGTON61997
Mendota 3WASHINGTON62024
SitkaALASKA52024
HolmesCALIFORNIA52012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.