Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rock Pigeon In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Rock Pigeon in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-61%Since 1969
21Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Rock Pigeon has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 61% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 13% by 2029 — from 3.4 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.0 (95% range 0.00–9.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±366.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-13%Change by 2029
3.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–9.995% range
±366.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2026 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2027 | 3.1 | 0.00 | 10 |
| 2028 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 10.0 |
| 2029 | 3.0 | 0.00 | 9.9 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Progreso | TEXAS | 42 | 2011 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 16 | 2024 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 13 | 2003 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 12 | 2024 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 8 | 2008 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 7 | 1996 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 7 | 1982 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 5 | 2019 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 4 | 1980 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 3 | 2010 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 3 | 2014 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 3 | 1988 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 3 | 2011 |
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 3 | 2024 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 2 | 1992 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 2 | 2004 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 1 | 2004 |
| George West | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 1 | 2017 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 1 | 2000 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.