BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Chihuahuan Desert has surged: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+100%Since 1975
25Routes In Region
39Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has surged in Chihuahuan Desert: up 100% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 89% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.00–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±63%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+89%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.395% range
±63%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.90.004.2
20261.90.004.3
20272.00.004.3
20282.00.004.3
20292.00.004.3

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Chihuahuan Desert.
Bitter LakeNEW-MEXICO212023
MesillaNEW-MEXICO182000
RodeoNEW-MEXICO151995
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO142024
CarrizozoNEW-MEXICO91970
Ft. StocktonTEXAS62024
CanutilloTEXAS62024
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO52024
ComstockTEXAS52011
GirvinTEXAS52009
CloudcroftNEW-MEXICO41975
Delaware CrkTEXAS41980
RoswellNEW-MEXICO22016
LakewoodNEW-MEXICO22021
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO22006
GageNEW-MEXICO11992
JornadaNEW-MEXICO12022
LaborcitaNEW-MEXICO12019
Red RockNEW-MEXICO11992
ShafterTEXAS11984
SlaughterTEXAS12021
OzonaTEXAS11995
PresidioTEXAS12013
Sierra BlancTEXAS12018
MarathonTEXAS12013

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.