BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Sierra Madre Occidental has fallen sharply: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

-72%Since 1975
12Routes In Region
41Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has fallen sharply in Sierra Madre Occidental: down 72% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 100% by 2024 — from 0.07 in 2019 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±400.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2024
0.00Projected 2024 index
0.00–2.195% range
±400.2%Backtest error
19712024
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20200.110.002.2
20210.080.002.2
20220.040.002.2
20230.010.002.1
20240.000.002.1

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Sierra Madre Occidental.
MagdalenaNEW-MEXICO91999
PatagoniaARIZONA32006
SunizonaARIZONA31997
PrescottARIZONA22015
WilliamsARIZONA22017
MaineARIZONA21997
Skull ValleyARIZONA22003
PinetopARIZONA21994
SahuaritaARIZONA22019
McnealARIZONA22017
PomereneARIZONA11985
DragoonARIZONA12006

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.