BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has surged: up 469% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+469%Since 1971
49Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has surged in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: up 469% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to fall about 58% by 2029 — from 7.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.1 (95% range 0.00–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-58%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
0.00–1095% range
±51.6%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.20.0011
20263.20.0011
20273.10.0011
20283.10.0011
20293.10.0010

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Cactus ForestARIZONA1362024
Willow Springs 2CALIFORNIA502024
Coachella CnCALIFORNIA452000
Alamo RiverCALIFORNIA442018
Imperial DamCALIFORNIA332010
Joshua Tree 2CALIFORNIA292016
BrawleyCALIFORNIA242012
CoolidgeARIZONA181985
AjoARIZONA152008
BlytheCALIFORNIA151977
NilandCALIFORNIA142024
Jean LakeNEVADA122013
LagunaARIZONA111992
Calif CityCALIFORNIA112015
LenwoodCALIFORNIA112012
Anza BorregoCALIFORNIA81996
TronaCALIFORNIA81997
CimaCALIFORNIA81998
New RiverARIZONA72016
Red Rock 2ARIZONA72024
Lone PineCALIFORNIA72009
Palo VerdeCALIFORNIA62024
BeattyNEVADA62017
OnyxCALIFORNIA51998
BarstowCALIFORNIA51998

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.