Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rock Pigeon In Piedmont
Rock Pigeon in Piedmont has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-80%Since 1968
147Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Rock Pigeon has collapsed in Piedmont: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Piedmont is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 1.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–7.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±110.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.495% range
±110.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.4 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.4 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.4 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.4 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.4 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Akron | PENNSYLVANIA | 214 | 1997 |
| Passaic | NEW-JERSEY | 102 | 1969 |
| Ephrata | PENNSYLVANIA | 49 | 1988 |
| Aspers | PENNSYLVANIA | 43 | 1989 |
| Sporting Hil | PENNSYLVANIA | 41 | 1977 |
| Bald Friar | MARYLAND | 36 | 1996 |
| Leola | PENNSYLVANIA | 36 | 2024 |
| Pottstown | PENNSYLVANIA | 35 | 1987 |
| West Grove | PENNSYLVANIA | 33 | 1996 |
| Mt Gretna 2 | PENNSYLVANIA | 31 | 2022 |
| Hiram | GEORGIA | 30 | 2018 |
| Labott | PENNSYLVANIA | 28 | 1983 |
| Mount Joy | PENNSYLVANIA | 26 | 2024 |
| Croton | NEW-JERSEY | 25 | 2002 |
| Cherryville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 24 | 1968 |
| Pendleton | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 21 | 1976 |
| Moran | VIRGINIA | 21 | 2014 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 20 | 2022 |
| Hulls Xroads | NORTH-CAROLINA | 20 | 2022 |
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 17 | 2024 |
| Mooresville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 17 | 1989 |
| Waco | NORTH-CAROLINA | 15 | 2023 |
| Mt Gretna | PENNSYLVANIA | 15 | 2000 |
| Owings 2 | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 15 | 2016 |
| David | VIRGINIA | 13 | 2001 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.