BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Appalachian Mountains has declined: down 49% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-49%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
338Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Appalachian Mountains. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Appalachian Mountains Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.6 (95% range 1.4–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-7%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.4–7.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 4.6 (95% range 1.4–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20255.11.98.3
20264.91.78.1
20274.81.68.0
20284.71.57.9
20294.61.47.8

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Appalachian Mountains.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
BirminghamALABAMA2311995
ArleeWEST-VIRGINIA1281979
RydePENNSYLVANIA1092005
Drehersville 2PENNSYLVANIA982024
Sugar GroveWEST-VIRGINIA792024
StonecreekOHIO662024
WilliamsportMARYLAND562024
BrunnervillePENNSYLVANIA562009
Doubling GapPENNSYLVANIA531977
StoneybreakPENNSYLVANIA502024
Craven GapNORTH-CAROLINA471975
WilliamsburgPENNSYLVANIA462024
HometownPENNSYLVANIA462024
StarlightPENNSYLVANIA411988
RavensburgPENNSYLVANIA401980
DoylesburgPENNSYLVANIA402023
ScheafferstnPENNSYLVANIA392001
YawkeyWEST-VIRGINIA352003
JeromeVIRGINIA332023
SmithfieldWEST-VIRGINIA322024
WallandTENNESSEE311989
McdonoughNEW-YORK302017
LoveltonPENNSYLVANIA282023
ArnotPENNSYLVANIA262024
Swain 2NEW-YORK252024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.