BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 27 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon In Southeastern Coastal Plain

All regionsSoutheastern Coastal PlainGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Southeastern Coastal Plain has held roughly steady: down 7% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-7%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
248Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Southeastern Coastal Plain. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Southeastern Coastal Plain Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 20% by 2030 — from 1.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.41–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.41–2.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±19.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Southeastern Coastal Plain is projected to rise about 20% by 2030 — from 1.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.41–2.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±19.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.70.472.9
20271.70.462.9
20281.70.442.9
20291.60.432.9
20301.60.412.8

Routes In Southeastern Coastal Plain

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Southeastern Coastal Plain.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Alabama PtALABAMA1072003
MaconGEORGIA642025
DillonSOUTH-CAROLINA592021
GrangeburgALABAMA442018
Ft Waltn BchFLORIDA422011
BaxleyGEORGIA372015
DoverGEORGIA352023
TrentonTENNESSEE252011
Myrtle GroveNORTH-CAROLINA242025
HendersonGEORGIA232023
KinstonNORTH-CAROLINA212023
Mt. GileadALABAMA202023
WorkmoreGEORGIA172025
Leaf RiverMISSISSIPPI162008
RoseNORTH-CAROLINA162019
FowlstownGEORGIA152014
Boykin Ml PdSOUTH-CAROLINA151968
WedgeworthALABAMA142004
CalebeeALABAMA142025
BlountstownFLORIDA141979
BeargrassNORTH-CAROLINA141981
FairmontNORTH-CAROLINA131981
GenoaNORTH-CAROLINA132025
WagenerSOUTH-CAROLINA122010
PinewoodSOUTH-CAROLINA122017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.