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Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has declined: down 39% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-39%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
55Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Mississippi Alluvial Valley Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 28% by 2030 — from 1.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.00–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.0Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–6.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to fall about 28% by 2030 — from 1.4 in 2025 to a central estimate of 1.0 (95% range 0.00–6.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20261.40.007.2
20271.30.007.1
20281.20.007.0
20291.10.006.9
20301.00.006.8

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Morgan CityLOUISIANA371986
Baton RougeLOUISIANA362023
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI161994
ShelbyMISSISSIPPI132025
FreetownLOUISIANA92008
South BendARKANSAS82006
MaynardARKANSAS82025
BerwickLOUISIANA72001
River RoadLOUISIANA72024
CommerceMISSISSIPPI71993
EnglandARKANSAS62023
Bardwell 2KENTUCKY62025
RayvilleLOUISIANA61977
GibsonLOUISIANA62015
KeystoneLOUISIANA52012
GonzalesLOUISIANA52019
DundeeMISSISSIPPI52005
Tchula 3MISSISSIPPI52021
DeventerMISSOURI52025
WhittonARKANSAS41991
WilsonARKANSAS42025
RamahLOUISIANA41994
WintervilleMISSISSIPPI42009
TippoMISSISSIPPI42011
BlodgettMISSOURI42025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.