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Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Prairie Hardwood Transition has declined: down 29% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-29%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
160Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Prairie Hardwood Transition Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 7.6–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+13%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
7.6–2495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±35.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 7.6–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±35.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025178.125
2026168.025
2027167.825
2028167.725
2029167.624

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HamtramckMICHIGAN1221984
PackertownINDIANA972004
MiddleburyINDIANA882024
BismarkOHIO781995
StetsonvilleWISCONSIN732024
OmroWISCONSIN702001
Cherry ValILLINOIS622003
GreshamWISCONSIN592024
Omro 2WISCONSIN572024
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN502023
HollandWISCONSIN502024
New LisbonWISCONSIN462024
KielWISCONSIN402022
UnityWISCONSIN372024
CaledoniaMINNESOTA362010
PardeevilleWISCONSIN362024
TyreMICHIGAN351996
GrimmsWISCONSIN342021
HoltMICHIGAN332024
EsdaileWISCONSIN332024
N AndoverWISCONSIN332024
ManitowocWISCONSIN322024
AlmenaMICHIGAN292014
ColbyWISCONSIN292024
WhitewaterMINNESOTA282000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.