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Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has declined: down 33% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-33%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
101Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Central Mixed Grass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Central Mixed Grass Prairie Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.06–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+11%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.06–3.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±67.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to rise about 11% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.06–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±67.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.70.113.4
20261.70.103.4
20271.70.083.4
20281.70.073.3
20291.70.063.3

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
ChildressTEXAS381994
LibertyNEBRASKA331997
StrattonNEBRASKA242019
GoveKANSAS202013
RexfordKANSAS202024
Eagle CityOKLAHOMA182010
KearneyNEBRASKA172024
SurpriseNEBRASKA172024
BartleyNEBRASKA152024
KennedyNEBRASKA152017
Liberty 3NEBRASKA142023
TegardenOKLAHOMA122011
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA111992
HackberryTEXAS102012
ColdwaterKANSAS92017
CookietownOKLAHOMA91977
HollenbergKANSAS72021
BrownleeNEBRASKA72007
AlbertKANSAS62023
JamestownKANSAS62021
DamarKANSAS62016
TableNEBRASKA62024
MinneapolisKANSAS52019
SolomonKANSAS52019
JohnstownNEBRASKA52024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.