Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Rock Pigeon In Shortgrass Prairie
Rock Pigeon in Shortgrass Prairie has surged: up 227% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+227%Since 1969
117Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Rock Pigeon has surged in Shortgrass Prairie: up 227% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 7.2 (95% range 4.2–10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-0%Change by 2029
7.2Projected 2029 index
4.2–1095% range
±11.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 9.8 |
| 2026 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 9.9 |
| 2027 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 10 |
| 2028 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 10 |
| 2029 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 10 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
| Twichell | TEXAS | 271 | 2023 |
| Hobbs | NEW-MEXICO | 81 | 2024 |
| Sheridan Lak | COLORADO | 63 | 2016 |
| Midland | TEXAS | 57 | 2024 |
| Hooker | OKLAHOMA | 54 | 2024 |
| Pecos | TEXAS | 47 | 2017 |
| Edison | COLORADO | 43 | 2024 |
| Plains | TEXAS | 38 | 2017 |
| Hay Springs | NEBRASKA | 32 | 2024 |
| Julesburg | COLORADO | 29 | 2021 |
| Marsland | NEBRASKA | 28 | 2018 |
| Lingle | WYOMING | 27 | 2024 |
| Adams Co. | COLORADO | 26 | 2022 |
| Chugwater | WYOMING | 26 | 2024 |
| Plymell | KANSAS | 24 | 2024 |
| Tucumcari | NEW-MEXICO | 24 | 1975 |
| Kermit | TEXAS | 23 | 1994 |
| Panhandle | TEXAS | 23 | 2024 |
| Rush | COLORADO | 20 | 2022 |
| Gilpin | COLORADO | 19 | 2024 |
| Flagler | COLORADO | 19 | 2024 |
| Grigston | KANSAS | 19 | 2024 |
| Kimball | NEBRASKA | 19 | 2022 |
| Friona | TEXAS | 18 | 2024 |
| Villegreen | COLORADO | 17 | 2017 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.