BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 435% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+435%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
111Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Rock Pigeon has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 435% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Rock Pigeon In Badlands and Prairies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.5 (95% range 2.6–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
4.5Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.6–6.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 4.5 (95% range 2.6–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29.1%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20264.32.46.2
20274.32.46.2
20284.42.56.3
20294.52.66.3
20304.52.66.4

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Badlands and Prairies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
RoyMONTANA692025
Flatwillow 2MONTANA452023
CarsonNORTH-DAKOTA372025
DwyerWYOMING362025
Eagle ButteSOUTH-DAKOTA352015
JordanMONTANA302024
GolvaNORTH-DAKOTA272025
WebsterMONTANA262025
Coleman CouleeMONTANA222024
BrusettMONTANA212024
IsabelSOUTH-DAKOTA212015
Jordan SouthMONTANA182025
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA172024
MaurineSOUTH-DAKOTA172025
Chuffey SpringMONTANA142024
LodgepoleSOUTH-DAKOTA142025
St XavierMONTANA132011
CrookstonNEBRASKA132025
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA132025
Ft YatesNORTH-DAKOTA122004
RockyfordSOUTH-DAKOTA122025
VolunteerSOUTH-DAKOTA122025
Ft ThompsonSOUTH-DAKOTA112011
Roubaix LkSOUTH-DAKOTA111991
HighwoodMONTANA102025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.