BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest has increased: up 28% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+28%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
122Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 0.92–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-42%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.92–5.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±34.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 42% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 0.92–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20253.20.965.5
20263.20.955.5
20273.20.945.4
20283.20.935.4
20293.20.925.4

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Number FourNEW-YORK1782016
CornvilleMAINE1132024
RomeMAINE652024
FletcherVERMONT572024
New HartfordCONNECTICUT341987
Ft FairfieldMAINE332005
NewcombNEW-YORK202022
East HavenVERMONT192024
GlenNEW-HAMPSHIRE182024
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE162000
Cummington 2MASSACHUSETTS162023
StacyvilleMAINE142023
ReedsMAINE132024
HarmonyMAINE122024
BoundaryMAINE122015
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS122006
BentonMAINE101980
Jefferson HlNEW-HAMPSHIRE102024
MedwayMAINE92018
Church HillMAINE92017
FranconiaNEW-HAMPSHIRE92023
Moose RiverMAINE82008
WinnMAINE82022
LempsterNEW-HAMPSHIRE82019
SpeculatorNEW-YORK81973

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.