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Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Rock Pigeon In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest has edged up: up 22% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+22%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
122Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.2 (95% range 0.97–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.2Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.97–5.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±18.5%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 3.2 (95% range 0.97–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.21.05.5
20273.20.995.4
20283.20.985.4
20293.20.985.4
20303.20.975.4

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Number FourNEW-YORK1782016
CornvilleMAINE722025
RomeMAINE652024
New HartfordCONNECTICUT341987
Ft FairfieldMAINE332005
CharlestonMAINE302021
GaysvilleVERMONT292025
NewcombNEW-YORK202022
GlenNEW-HAMPSHIRE182024
Post MillsVERMONT182025
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE162000
StacyvilleMAINE142023
BoundaryMAINE122015
PittsfieldMASSACHUSETTS122006
BrooksMAINE112021
ReedsMAINE102025
BentonMAINE101980
Church HillMAINE92017
Cummington 2MASSACHUSETTS92025
FranconiaNEW-HAMPSHIRE92023
GreenwoodMAINE82025
Moose RiverMAINE82008
WinnMAINE82022
SpeculatorNEW-YORK81973
N OrangeMASSACHUSETTS72025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.