BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 13 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

All regionsLower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence PlainGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain has declined: down 32% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-32%Since 1968
86Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 10 (95% range 2.9–17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±36.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
10Projected 2029 index
2.9–1795% range
±36.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025113.718
2026113.518
2027113.318
2028103.118
2029102.917

Routes In Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Lower Great Lakes / St. Lawrence Plain.
CloverPENNSYLVANIA1002024
WatertownNEW-YORK692012
Alder CreekNEW-YORK532004
Sugar GrovePENNSYLVANIA492024
HarrisvillePENNSYLVANIA482023
HinesburgVERMONT461994
Canadice LNEW-YORK422024
HiramOHIO422019
HebronOHIO402016
Ballston LkNEW-YORK371995
NaplesNEW-YORK362024
DuanesburgNEW-YORK322024
MaysvilleOHIO322012
OgdensburgNEW-YORK312024
TeeplevillePENNSYLVANIA292024
RomulusNEW-YORK272000
SalemNEW-YORK262024
CastileNEW-YORK242024
New SomersetOHIO241993
WaddingtonNEW-YORK231998
RushvilleNEW-YORK202024
GarrettsvileOHIO201991
BranchportNEW-YORK182024
MendonNEW-YORK182019
Grand IsleVERMONT182023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.