BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 232% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+232%Since 1968
91Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Rock Pigeon has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 232% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to rise about 163% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 1.5–5.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±97%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+163%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
1.5–5.495% range
±97%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.31.35.3
20263.31.45.3
20273.41.45.4
20283.41.45.4
20293.41.55.4

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
Lake CityMICHIGAN362022
NebishMINNESOTA232019
HerronMICHIGAN172013
IrmaWISCONSIN162023
BrainerdMINNESOTA132024
Iron RiverWISCONSIN132024
Traverse CtyMICHIGAN111992
HermanMICHIGAN92022
HarriettaMICHIGAN92019
ExelandWISCONSIN92023
CromwellMINNESOTA82024
Washington IWISCONSIN82000
Weirgor SpringsWISCONSIN82024
PickfordMICHIGAN72024
FloodwoodMINNESOTA72024
WilsonMICHIGAN62009
BackusMINNESOTA62024
BayfieldWISCONSIN62024
CunardMICHIGAN52021
TahquamenonMICHIGAN51980
OberlinMICHIGAN52011
Island LakeMINNESOTA52016
MahtowaMINNESOTA52017
McgregorMINNESOTA52024
GilmanWISCONSIN52023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.