BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Rock Pigeon In Northern Rockies

All regionsNorthern RockiesGeneralists

Rock Pigeon in Northern Rockies has edged up: up 11% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+11%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
97Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Rock Pigeon in Northern Rockies. See the full index history below.

Rock Pigeon In Northern Rockies Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.94–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-12%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.7Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.94–4.495% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±29%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Rock Pigeon in Northern Rockies is projected to fall about 12% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.94–4.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±29%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.60.884.3
20262.60.904.3
20272.60.914.3
20282.60.934.3
20292.70.944.4

Routes In Northern Rockies

Routes recording Rock Pigeon in Northern Rockies.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Pablo Res.MONTANA1352024
DonnybrookOREGON541997
PolsonMONTANA492024
LimaMONTANA472024
OttoWYOMING292017
RaynesfordMONTANA252024
HarmonyWYOMING252023
Clyde ParkMONTANA232024
VictorMONTANA222024
ClarkWYOMING222010
CurlewWASHINGTON202013
Willow Creek 2MONTANA182024
Twin BridgesMONTANA161976
L Pend O NwrWASHINGTON162021
Church HillMONTANA152024
LovellWYOMING152024
FeathervilleIDAHO142015
CodyWYOMING142024
EllistonMONTANA132024
GlenMONTANA132023
Freeman CreekMONTANA132016
Crane CreekIDAHO122015
MidvaleWYOMING122022
Fort LoganMONTANA102024
Threemile WaMONTANA102024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.