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Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Atlantic Northern Forest has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-57%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
53Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
43YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Ring-necked Pheasant has fallen sharply in Atlantic Northern Forest: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Ring-necked Pheasant In Atlantic Northern Forest Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2023, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2023TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.01Projected 2023 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–0.0795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±28.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2023, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.07). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672023
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20190.010.000.07
20200.010.000.07
20210.010.000.07
20220.010.000.07
20230.010.000.07

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Atlantic Northern Forest.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
HermonMAINE31972
South ArmMAINE21998
HancockMAINE21986
CheshireMASSACHUSETTS21988
New HartfordCONNECTICUT11981
WestbrookMAINE12005
BiddefordMAINE12007
NewcastleMAINE11991
GreenwoodMAINE11981
Otisfield GrMAINE12012
Bowdoin CtrMAINE12003
East TroyMAINE11994
WarrenMAINE11988
HarmonyMAINE12011
EastbrookMAINE11988
CastineMAINE11995
CooperMAINE12006
DebloisMAINE11967
CharlestonMAINE12009
CambridgeMAINE12005
LudlowMAINE11983
RomeMAINE11999
JeffersonMAINE11993
Church HillMAINE12007
SearsportMAINE12004

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.