BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Redhead In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesWaterfowl

Redhead in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 471% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+471%Since 1975
38Routes In Region
46Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Redhead has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 471% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Redhead in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 0.47 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.42 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±82.9%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-11%Change by 2029
0.42Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±82.9%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.400.001.4
20260.410.001.4
20270.410.001.4
20280.410.001.4
20290.420.001.4

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Redhead in Badlands and Prairies.
BentleyNORTH-DAKOTA672023
Two DotMONTANA182024
LacreekSOUTH-DAKOTA92023
IngomarMONTANA82024
OttumwaSOUTH-DAKOTA81998
Cedar PassSOUTH-DAKOTA61996
RiverviewWYOMING62021
ArdmoreSOUTH-DAKOTA52019
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA42014
BowmanNORTH-DAKOTA42024
HayesSOUTH-DAKOTA42008
Cedar CreekNORTH-DAKOTA32009
LodgepoleSOUTH-DAKOTA32010
PioneerSOUTH-DAKOTA31997
NatronaWYOMING31988
BucknumWYOMING32000
LeroyMONTANA22017
Dinosaurs H.M.MONTANA22021
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA21986
ChamberlainSOUTH-DAKOTA22011
Fort PierreSOUTH-DAKOTA22019
CottonwoodSOUTH-DAKOTA22024
S. PioneerSOUTH-DAKOTA22017
French CreekSOUTH-DAKOTA21998
WyarnoWYOMING21977

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.