BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-winged Blackbird In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Red-winged Blackbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-90%Since 1969
99Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-winged Blackbird has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 90% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-winged Blackbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 2.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±125.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.995% range
±125.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.005.9
20260.000.005.9
20270.000.005.9
20280.000.005.9
20290.000.005.9

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Red-winged Blackbird in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
Mer RougeLOUISIANA2032008
CypressLOUISIANA511987
NatchitochesLOUISIANA371991
Derry 2LOUISIANA332024
DerryLOUISIANA281989
FillmoreLOUISIANA241989
PhillipsOKLAHOMA222008
De QuincyLOUISIANA192021
McalesterOKLAHOMA161991
HavanaARKANSAS142021
IndianolaOKLAHOMA142024
Chandler 2TEXAS142024
PocolaOKLAHOMA122016
CanadianOKLAHOMA102017
Powell ParkTEXAS102012
Coal HillARKANSAS92023
MatoyOKLAHOMA92000
ChandlerTEXAS92004
BlakelyARKANSAS81999
StarkARKANSAS82024
EastonLOUISIANA81990
ManyLOUISIANA81992
SandbluffOKLAHOMA81995
Locust BayouARKANSAS72022
GoodwaterOKLAHOMA72021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.