Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-necked Grebe In Northern Rockies

Red-necked Grebe in Northern Rockies has collapsed: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

-86%Since 1971
17Routes In Region
53Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Red-necked Grebe has collapsed in Northern Rockies: down 86% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-necked Grebe in Northern Rockies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±59.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.000.1195% range
±59.8%Backtest error
19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.010.000.11
20260.000.000.11
20270.000.000.11
20280.000.000.11
20290.000.000.11

Routes In Northern Rockies

Routes recording Red-necked Grebe in Northern Rockies.
Sullivan LkWASHINGTON31999
NaplesIDAHO22006
AugustaMONTANA21997
NoxonMONTANA22002
Inside RoadMONTANA22024
MivodenIDAHO12011
KalispellMONTANA12024
St MaryMONTANA12005
ArleeMONTANA12011
St. Mary 2MONTANA12024
Twin LakesWASHINGTON12009
CusickWASHINGTON12008
CurlewWASHINGTON11994
Sullivan Lake 2WASHINGTON12008
L Pend O NwrWASHINGTON12001
FontenelleWYOMING11991
Hunter PeakWYOMING11995

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.