BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-naped Sapsucker In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalForest birds

Red-naped Sapsucker in Sierra Madre Occidental has declined: down 49% on the route-weighted index since 1994.

-49%Since 1994
9Routes In Region
18Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Red-naped Sapsucker in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-naped Sapsucker in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to fall about 72% by 2027 — from 0.15 in 2022 to a central estimate of 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±24.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-72%Change by 2027
0.04Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.1395% range
±24.4%Backtest error
19742027
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20230.050.000.14
20240.050.000.14
20250.050.000.14
20260.040.000.14
20270.040.000.13

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Red-naped Sapsucker in Sierra Madre Occidental.
AlpineARIZONA22022
ReserveNEW-MEXICO22022
FlagstaffARIZONA12006
PrescottARIZONA11974
MaineARIZONA11997
Tonto Vill.ARIZONA11992
Carr MtnARIZONA11996
SprucedaleARIZONA11999
DragoonARIZONA11997

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.