Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red-naped Sapsucker In Badlands and Prairies
Red-naped Sapsucker in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 951% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+951%Since 1975
23Routes In Region
50Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red-naped Sapsucker has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 951% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red-naped Sapsucker in Badlands and Prairies is projected to rise about 77% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.53 (95% range 0.14–0.92). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±119.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+77%Change by 2029
0.53Projected 2029 index
0.14–0.9295% range
±119.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.50 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
| 2026 | 0.51 | 0.12 | 0.90 |
| 2027 | 0.52 | 0.13 | 0.91 |
| 2028 | 0.52 | 0.14 | 0.91 |
| 2029 | 0.53 | 0.14 | 0.92 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Black Fox | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 11 | 2017 |
| Hill City | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 7 | 2013 |
| Englewood | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2021 |
| Long Draw | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 6 | 2024 |
| Sundance | WYOMING | 5 | 2024 |
| Maynard Coulee | MONTANA | 4 | 2024 |
| Custer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2024 |
| Silver City | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2012 |
| Two Dot | MONTANA | 2 | 2016 |
| Norbeck | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2002 |
| Elk Mountain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2004 |
| Rochford | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2018 |
| Hazelrodt | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2024 |
| Highwood | MONTANA | 1 | 2022 |
| Shawmut | MONTANA | 1 | 2005 |
| Reed Point | MONTANA | 1 | 2014 |
| Chuffey Spring | MONTANA | 1 | 2019 |
| Roubaix Lk | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 1991 |
| Lightning Cr | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 1 | 2022 |
| Moskee | WYOMING | 1 | 2001 |
| Meadowdale | WYOMING | 1 | 1989 |
| Moskee 2 | WYOMING | 1 | 2021 |
| Moskee 3 | WYOMING | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.