Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pyrrhuloxia In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Pyrrhuloxia in Tamaulipan Brushlands has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-85%Since 1969
26Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pyrrhuloxia has collapsed in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pyrrhuloxia in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±135.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–3195% range
±135.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 44 | 1985 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 43 | 2017 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 36 | 2023 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 31 | 2023 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 30 | 1987 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 22 | 2024 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 20 | 2023 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 19 | 2023 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 18 | 2024 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 16 | 2024 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 15 | 2023 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 14 | 2024 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 13 | 2007 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 12 | 2012 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 11 | 2024 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 10 | 2024 |
| George West | TEXAS | 9 | 2024 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 8 | 2010 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 8 | 2023 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 7 | 2010 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 5 | 2009 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 4 | 2008 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 4 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.