BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prothonotary Warbler In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Prothonotary Warbler in Appalachian Mountains has fallen sharply: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-57%Since 1968
52Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Prothonotary Warbler has fallen sharply in Appalachian Mountains: down 57% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Prothonotary Warbler in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±127.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1195% range
±127.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.050.000.11
20260.050.000.11
20270.050.000.11
20280.050.000.11
20290.050.000.11

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Prothonotary Warbler in Appalachian Mountains.
RiversideALABAMA212013
StevensonALABAMA52024
CartersvilleGEORGIA21979
LinwoodGEORGIA21979
LynchPENNSYLVANIA21999
N WashingtonPENNSYLVANIA21989
Red BankTENNESSEE21977
SaltvilleVIRGINIA21996
MartinsburgWEST-VIRGINIA22023
TradeALABAMA11999
SummittALABAMA11968
Pine GroveALABAMA12024
DearmanvilleALABAMA11980
Sunny EveALABAMA12021
GreensportALABAMA12017
Smyer LakeALABAMA11982
Mt OliveALABAMA11987
MaytownALABAMA12012
GuntersvilleALABAMA12011
ChildersburgALABAMA11999
OdenvilleALABAMA12023
Borden SprngALABAMA11996
WoodvilleALABAMA12013
ChoccoloccoALABAMA12023
OneontaALABAMA12022

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.