BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prothonotary Warbler In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Prothonotary Warbler in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 99% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+99%Since 1969
20Routes In Region
48Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Prothonotary Warbler has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 99% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Prothonotary Warbler in Oaks and Prairies is projected to fall about 15% by 2029 — from 0.15 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.13 (95% range 0.04–0.21). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±99.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-15%Change by 2029
0.13Projected 2029 index
0.04–0.2195% range
±99.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.120.040.20
20260.120.040.21
20270.120.040.21
20280.130.040.21
20290.130.040.21

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Prothonotary Warbler in Oaks and Prairies.
DikeTEXAS32024
CarlosTEXAS22004
Gambill Ref.TEXAS22023
Mill CreekOKLAHOMA12017
HoldenvilleOKLAHOMA12024
BeggsOKLAHOMA11991
NobleOKLAHOMA11979
BarnsdallOKLAHOMA11972
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA12009
HeyburnOKLAHOMA12024
Oak GroveTEXAS11988
Massey LakeTEXAS12024
OakwoodTEXAS11974
OlaTEXAS12010
LydiaTEXAS12002
CayugaTEXAS12023
Blue RidgeTEXAS12007
YoakumTEXAS12004
Wills PointTEXAS12015
GreenvilleTEXAS12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.