Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Prairie Warbler In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Prairie Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has surged: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+95%Since 1969
99Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Prairie Warbler has surged in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: up 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Prairie Warbler in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.1 (95% range 2.0–4.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-8%Change by 2029
3.1Projected 2029 index
2.0–4.395% range
±20.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 4.1 |
| 2026 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 4.2 |
| 2027 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| 2028 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 4.2 |
| 2029 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 4.3 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Pushmataha | OKLAHOMA | 27 | 2023 |
| Hee Mountain | OKLAHOMA | 20 | 2024 |
| Dry Fork 2 | ARKANSAS | 16 | 2024 |
| Four Lakes | ARKANSAS | 12 | 2001 |
| Bethel | OKLAHOMA | 11 | 2024 |
| Fort Polk | LOUISIANA | 10 | 1970 |
| Trout | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2024 |
| Flat Creek | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2024 |
| Derry 2 | LOUISIANA | 10 | 2024 |
| Clay | LOUISIANA | 9 | 2024 |
| Linville | LOUISIANA | 9 | 2024 |
| Princeton | ARKANSAS | 7 | 2021 |
| Zwolle | LOUISIANA | 7 | 2023 |
| Mt. Herman | OKLAHOMA | 7 | 2022 |
| Princeton 2 | ARKANSAS | 6 | 2022 |
| Cheniere | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Ivan | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2013 |
| Hargis | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2009 |
| Enterprise | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2024 |
| Waldron | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2023 |
| Nance | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2024 |
| Magazine Mtn | ARKANSAS | 5 | 2021 |
| Many | LOUISIANA | 5 | 1992 |
| Ivan 2 | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2016 |
| Powell Park 2 | TEXAS | 5 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.