Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Prairie Falcon In Shortgrass Prairie

Prairie Falcon in Shortgrass Prairie has declined: down 25% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-25%Since 1973
72Routes In Region
48Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Prairie Falcon in Shortgrass Prairie. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Prairie Falcon in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±148.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.09Projected 2028 index
0.000.1795% range
±148.7%Backtest error
19692028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.090.000.17
20250.090.000.17
20260.090.000.17
20270.090.000.17
20280.090.000.17

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Prairie Falcon in Shortgrass Prairie.
FlemingCOLORADO72003
SabinosoNEW-MEXICO32021
BriggsdaleCOLORADO22018
EllicottCOLORADO22017
UlyssesKANSAS22010
SkellytownTEXAS22017
PinneoCOLORADO11990
KiowaCOLORADO12013
Last ChanceCOLORADO12009
AbarrCOLORADO12010
RushCOLORADO12019
BoyeroCOLORADO12015
Mica ButteCOLORADO11982
GilpinCOLORADO12017
Two ButtesCOLORADO12011
Wildhorse LCOLORADO12002
Adams Co.COLORADO12016
Gordon CreekCOLORADO12008
BethuneCOLORADO12008
EdisonCOLORADO12023
CrowleyCOLORADO11989
CheyenneCOLORADO12009
VillegreenCOLORADO12012
CampoCOLORADO12016
Cone MtnCOLORADO12012

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.