BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pinyon Jay In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

All regionsSouthern Rockies / Colorado PlateauGeneralists

Pinyon Jay in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-80%Since 1970
155Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Pinyon Jay has collapsed in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pinyon Jay in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 84% by 2029 — from 5.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.86 (95% range 0.00–8.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±62.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-84%Change by 2029
0.86Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.495% range
±62.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.60.009.2
20261.40.009.0
20271.30.008.8
20281.10.008.6
20290.860.008.4

Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau

Routes recording Pinyon Jay in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau.
House RockARIZONA1132022
GuffeyCOLORADO852024
CanyonlandsUTAH662024
Salt Lake 2NEW-MEXICO632024
AztecNEW-MEXICO531989
YampaiARIZONA501977
Wray GulchCOLORADO492023
Salt LakeNEW-MEXICO482001
ToroweapARIZONA452024
QuemadoNEW-MEXICO441997
Glen CanyonUTAH402024
EscalanteUTAH382024
MountainairNEW-MEXICO372024
Wellington 3UTAH352024
Mt TrumbullARIZONA341993
TsaileARIZONA302023
Fence LakeNEW-MEXICO302024
Canyon RimsUTAH292024
BufordCOLORADO281995
Claunch 2NEW-MEXICO282024
BicknellUTAH232019
Baxter PassCOLORADO222024
FayetteUTAH222021
CapulinNEW-MEXICO211993
ClaunchNEW-MEXICO202000

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.