BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida has increased: up 36% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+36%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
58Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Pine Warbler In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.6 (95% range 3.9–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.6Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
3.9–9.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13.3%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 6.6 (95% range 3.9–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20256.43.79.0
20266.43.89.1
20276.53.89.1
20286.53.99.2
20296.63.99.2

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CitrusFLORIDA522024
GoetheFLORIDA332024
PinelandsFLORIDA312024
OcalaFLORIDA292024
ChassahowitzFLORIDA282024
Babcock RnchFLORIDA171990
WebbFLORIDA162024
BelmoreFLORIDA112024
Island GroveFLORIDA112024
RomeoFLORIDA92024
PinecrestFLORIDA92024
DeanvilleFLORIDA92019
MicanopyFLORIDA81991
St AugustineFLORIDA82024
CroomFLORIDA82024
HomesteadFLORIDA72024
Ft MccoyFLORIDA62024
Sandy 2FLORIDA62017
Dale MabryFLORIDA41987
AlturasFLORIDA41986
NobletonFLORIDA42024
Polk CityFLORIDA32024
KenansvilleFLORIDA32021
Devils GardnFLORIDA32019
PalmdaleFLORIDA32010

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.