BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Pine Warbler In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaForest birds

Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida has increased: up 40% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+40%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
58Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Pine Warbler In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.6 (95% range 4.0–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+2%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
6.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
4.0–9.295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±10.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 6.6 (95% range 4.0–9.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20266.43.89.1
20276.53.89.1
20286.53.99.2
20296.63.99.2
20306.64.09.2

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CitrusFLORIDA822025
GoetheFLORIDA342025
PinelandsFLORIDA312024
OcalaFLORIDA182025
Babcock RnchFLORIDA171990
ChassahowitzFLORIDA142025
CroomFLORIDA132025
BelmoreFLORIDA112024
WebbFLORIDA112025
Ft MccoyFLORIDA102025
St AugustineFLORIDA92025
DeanvilleFLORIDA92019
MicanopyFLORIDA81991
Sandy 2FLORIDA62017
RomeoFLORIDA52025
PinecrestFLORIDA52025
HomesteadFLORIDA52025
Island GroveFLORIDA52025
Dale MabryFLORIDA41987
AlturasFLORIDA41986
NobletonFLORIDA42025
Green SwampFLORIDA42025
PalmdaleFLORIDA32010
AripekaFLORIDA32023
Ridge HarborFLORIDA32017

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.