Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pine Warbler In Appalachian Mountains
Pine Warbler in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 127% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+127%Since 1968
244Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Pine Warbler has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 127% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 21% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 1.2–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±10.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+21%Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
1.2–2.195% range
±10.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| 2026 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
Routes In Appalachian Mountains
| Borden Springs 2 | ALABAMA | 38 | 2024 |
| Smyer Lake | ALABAMA | 24 | 2024 |
| Maytown | ALABAMA | 15 | 2023 |
| Borden Sprng | ALABAMA | 15 | 1998 |
| Battlecreek | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 15 | 2023 |
| Pine Ridge | KENTUCKY | 14 | 1966 |
| Greensport | ALABAMA | 11 | 2024 |
| Oldtown | MARYLAND | 11 | 2024 |
| Piney Grove | MARYLAND | 11 | 2024 |
| Mecca | TENNESSEE | 11 | 2023 |
| Sunny Eve | ALABAMA | 10 | 2024 |
| Mentone | ALABAMA | 10 | 2023 |
| Talladega | ALABAMA | 10 | 2024 |
| Glenwood | VIRGINIA | 10 | 2023 |
| Mt Olive | ALABAMA | 9 | 2024 |
| Jasper | ALABAMA | 9 | 1999 |
| Cartersville | GEORGIA | 9 | 2024 |
| Table Rock | NORTH-CAROLINA | 9 | 2022 |
| Riverside | ALABAMA | 8 | 2013 |
| Drummond | ALABAMA | 7 | 2024 |
| Shannon | GEORGIA | 7 | 2019 |
| Harbuck | TENNESSEE | 7 | 2023 |
| Rural Retrt | VIRGINIA | 7 | 2024 |
| Pine Grove | ALABAMA | 6 | 2024 |
| Dearmanville | ALABAMA | 6 | 1983 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.