BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyForest birds

Pine Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 396% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+396%Since 1971
18Routes In Region
48Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Warbler has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 396% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 99% by 2029 — from 0.24 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.48 (95% range 0.09–0.87). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+99%Change by 2029
0.48Projected 2029 index
0.09–0.8795% range
±58.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.460.070.85
20260.470.080.86
20270.470.080.86
20280.480.090.87
20290.480.090.87

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
GonzalesLOUISIANA102019
RoselandLOUISIANA42024
SaffellARKANSAS22018
River RoadLOUISIANA22023
EudoraARKANSAS12024
West TylerARKANSAS11971
HarrisburgARKANSAS12001
EnglandARKANSAS12024
Augusta 2ARKANSAS12010
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS12019
ShawLOUISIANA12023
Baton RougeLOUISIANA12024
CommerceMISSISSIPPI11991
TchulaMISSISSIPPI11975
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI11993
Tchula 3MISSISSIPPI12024
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI12021
TiptonvilleTENNESSEE12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.