BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Pine Warbler In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesForest birds

Pine Warbler in Oaks and Prairies has surged: up 468% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

+468%Since 1978
16Routes In Region
41Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Pine Warbler has surged in Oaks and Prairies: up 468% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Oaks and Prairies is projected to rise about 60% by 2029 — from 0.28 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.44 (95% range 0.22–0.67). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+60%Change by 2029
0.44Projected 2029 index
0.22–0.6795% range
±40.2%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.410.190.63
20260.420.200.64
20270.430.210.65
20280.440.220.66
20290.440.220.67

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Pine Warbler in Oaks and Prairies.
Oak GroveTEXAS71999
LydiaTEXAS62023
Oak Grove 2TEXAS42024
Massey LakeTEXAS32024
PaigeTEXAS32024
HearneTEXAS22022
GauseTEXAS11970
Miller GroveTEXAS12006
DikeTEXAS12024
GainesvilleTEXAS12021
CayugaTEXAS12024
CarlosTEXAS12018
Mount ZionTEXAS12024
BurtonTEXAS12017
BonnerTEXAS12009
Wills PointTEXAS12011

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.