Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pine Warbler In Atlantic Northern Forest
Pine Warbler in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 60× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
60×Since 1968
117Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Pine Warbler has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 60× on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pine Warbler in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 21% by 2029 — from 5.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.6 (95% range 2.8–6.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.5%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-21%Change by 2029
4.6Projected 2029 index
2.8–6.495% range
±48.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 6.0 |
| 2026 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 6.1 |
| 2027 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 6.2 |
| 2028 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 6.3 |
| 2029 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 6.4 |
Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest
| Brooks | MAINE | 20 | 2019 |
| Marlboro | VERMONT | 18 | 2024 |
| Fitzwilliam | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 17 | 2024 |
| Charleston | MAINE | 15 | 2019 |
| Winn | MAINE | 15 | 2022 |
| Mt Chocorua | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 15 | 2024 |
| Turner | MAINE | 14 | 2010 |
| Canterbury | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 14 | 2024 |
| Wilmot | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 14 | 2024 |
| Reeds | MAINE | 13 | 2024 |
| Aurora | MAINE | 13 | 2021 |
| Carrying Pl | MAINE | 13 | 2024 |
| N Orange | MASSACHUSETTS | 13 | 2024 |
| Concord | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 13 | 2024 |
| Lempster | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 13 | 2024 |
| Hopkinton | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 12 | 2024 |
| Greenwood | MAINE | 11 | 2024 |
| Medway | MAINE | 11 | 2018 |
| Turner 2 | MAINE | 11 | 2024 |
| Bowdoin Ctr | MAINE | 10 | 2021 |
| Cornville | MAINE | 10 | 2024 |
| Degrasse | NEW-YORK | 10 | 2024 |
| Westbrook | MAINE | 9 | 2024 |
| East Troy | MAINE | 9 | 2019 |
| Brownfield 2 | MAINE | 9 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.