Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pine Siskin In Shortgrass Prairie
Pine Siskin in Shortgrass Prairie has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1981.
-85%Since 1981
7Routes In Region
32Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pine Siskin has collapsed in Shortgrass Prairie: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1981.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pine Siskin in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±168.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2495% range
±168.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.26 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2028 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| 2029 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
Routes In Shortgrass Prairie
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.