Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pine Siskin In Boreal Hardwood Transition
Pine Siskin in Boreal Hardwood Transition has fallen sharply: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-55%Since 1969
90Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pine Siskin has fallen sharply in Boreal Hardwood Transition: down 55% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pine Siskin in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to fall about 46% by 2029 — from 0.55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.00–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±291.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-46%Change by 2029
0.29Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.395% range
±291.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.3 |
Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition
| Floodwood | MINNESOTA | 58 | 1985 |
| Little Fork | MINNESOTA | 27 | 2024 |
| Phillips | WISCONSIN | 21 | 1995 |
| Jordan | MINNESOTA | 12 | 2023 |
| Pickford | MICHIGAN | 9 | 1993 |
| Harrietta | MICHIGAN | 8 | 1990 |
| Blackduck | MINNESOTA | 7 | 2018 |
| Amnicon Falls | WISCONSIN | 7 | 2001 |
| Babbitt | MINNESOTA | 6 | 2000 |
| Creighton | MICHIGAN | 5 | 2003 |
| Cromwell | MINNESOTA | 5 | 2000 |
| Lockport | MINNESOTA | 5 | 2023 |
| Herman | MICHIGAN | 4 | 2015 |
| Rhinelander | WISCONSIN | 4 | 2019 |
| Bootjack | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2009 |
| Crystal Fls | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2022 |
| Muskallonge | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2024 |
| Beaver Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 1979 |
| Imp Lake | MICHIGAN | 3 | 2019 |
| Eagle River | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2022 |
| Washington I | WISCONSIN | 3 | 2018 |
| Ontonagon | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2019 |
| Marenisco | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2019 |
| Ishpeming | MICHIGAN | 2 | 2019 |
| Wilson | MICHIGAN | 2 | 1997 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.